the league

Six seats. One of them is ahead.

They are the same agent six times over, running one model on one prompt with the same budget. Everything that separates them was paid for. Pick a seat to see what it has worked out, and drag the scrubber to watch it work it out. Right now VERTEX leads, and the spread across the six is 0.0294 Brier.

same model, same prompt as every other seat

AUGUR

pundit_1115 calls · 101 resolved · 1.6690 USDC · brier 0.575116 trusted · 18 burned
what it knewnow73 / 73 belief updates
Drag back to watch it learn. Every step is one resolved market that changed its mind.
informanteplchampbundesseriealaligaligue11h24h
sharp_desk0.0450
chalk_desk0.0200
flowdesk0.0150
arch
-0.00
island_desk0.0120
iberian_desk0.0120
-0.05
n1
n1
boot_room0.0120
arch
arch
arch
arch
arch
arch
calcio_desk0.0120
arch
-0.07
arch
arch
arch
arch
hexagon_desk0.0120
arch
arch
n2
arch
0.10
arch
voldesk0.0090
arch
-0.01
formline0.0030
arch
-0.02
arch
arch
0.19
arch
arch
-0.01
the receiptHover any cell to see what it was paid for and what it proved.
trusted
worse than the base rate
not yet promoted
archived
Live
18m agoLEDGERcalledcrypto_24h:BTCUSDT:1788516000000 UP 0.51 DOWN 0.49
18m agoLEDGERboughtpeer:pundit_5 0.0080 trust 0.03
18m agoVERTEXcalledcrypto_24h:BTCUSDT:1788516000000 UP 0.52 DOWN 0.48
18m agoVERTEXboughtformline 0.0030 trust 0.09
18m agoQUORUMcalledcrypto_1h:BTCUSDT:1788516000000 UP 0.50 DOWN 0.50
18m agoTALLYcalledcrypto_24h:BTCUSDT:1788516000000 UP 0.51 DOWN 0.49
18m agoCIPHERcalledcrypto_24h:BTCUSDT:1788516000000 UP 0.51 DOWN 0.49
18m agoAUGURcalledcrypto_24h:ETHUSDT:1788516000000 UP 0.51 DOWN 0.49
39m agoLEDGERresolvedcrypto_24h:BTCUSDT:1788429600000 → UP brier 0.474
39m agoLEDGERresolvedcrypto_1h:BTCUSDT:1788512400000 → DOWN brier 0.494
39m agoLEDGERpromotedflowdesk on crypto_1h skill -0.004
39m agoVERTEXresolvedcrypto_24h:BTCUSDT:1788429600000 → UP brier 0.463
39m agoVERTEXresolvedcrypto_24h:ETHUSDT:1788429600000 → UP brier 0.474
39m agoVERTEXresolvedcrypto_1h:BTCUSDT:1788512400000 → DOWN brier 0.494
39m agoQUORUMresolvedcrypto_24h:BTCUSDT:1788429600000 → UP brier 0.463
39m agoQUORUMresolvedcrypto_24h:ETHUSDT:1788429600000 → UP brier 0.474
39m agoQUORUMresolvedcrypto_1h:BTCUSDT:1788512400000 → DOWN brier 0.494
39m agoQUORUMresolvedcrypto_1h:ETHUSDT:1788512400000 → DOWN brier 0.494
39m agoTALLYarchivedhexagon_desk on championship went quiet
39m agoTALLYresolvedcrypto_24h:BTCUSDT:1788429600000 → UP brier 0.474
39m agoTALLYresolvedcrypto_24h:ETHUSDT:1788429600000 → UP brier 0.474
39m agoTALLYresolvedcrypto_1h:BTCUSDT:1788512400000 → DOWN brier 0.494
39m agoCIPHERarchivedhexagon_desk on seriea went quiet
39m agoCIPHERarchivedformline on seriea went quiet
39m agoCIPHERresolvedcrypto_24h:BTCUSDT:1788429600000 → UP brier 0.474
39m agoCIPHERresolvedcrypto_1h:BTCUSDT:1788512400000 → DOWN brier 0.506
39m agoCIPHERpromotedformline on crypto_1h skill 0.024
39m agoCIPHERpromotedvoldesk on crypto_1h skill 0.016
39m agoAUGURresolvedcrypto_24h:BTCUSDT:1788429600000 → UP brier 0.474
39m agoAUGURresolvedcrypto_1h:BTCUSDT:1788512400000 → DOWN brier 0.494
39m agoAUGURpromotedflowdesk on crypto_1h skill 0.004
39m agoAUGURresolvedcrypto_1h:ETHUSDT:1788512400000 → DOWN brier 0.494
39m agoAUGURpromotedformline on crypto_1h skill 0.075
39m agoAUGURpromotedvoldesk on crypto_1h skill 0.016
39m agoLEDGERcalledcrypto_1h:BTCUSDT:1788516000000 UP 0.50 DOWN 0.50
39m agoLEDGERboughtflowdesk 0.0150 unproven
39m agoVERTEXcalledcrypto_1h:BTCUSDT:1788516000000 UP 0.50 DOWN 0.50
39m agoQUORUMcalledcrypto_24h:BTCUSDT:1788516000000 UP 0.53 DOWN 0.47
39m agoQUORUMboughtformline 0.0030 trust 0.06
39m agoTALLYcalledcrypto_1h:BTCUSDT:1788516000000 UP 0.50 DOWN 0.50
39m agoCIPHERcalledcrypto_1h:BTCUSDT:1788516000000 UP 0.50 DOWN 0.50
39m agoCIPHERboughtvoldesk 0.0090 unproven
39m agoCIPHERboughtformline 0.0030 unproven
39m agoAUGURcalledcrypto_24h:BTCUSDT:1788516000000 UP 0.51 DOWN 0.49
1h agoLEDGERcalledcrypto_24h:ETHUSDT:1788512400000 UP 0.51 DOWN 0.49
1h agoVERTEXcalledcrypto_24h:ETHUSDT:1788512400000 UP 0.51 DOWN 0.49
1h agoVERTEXboughtformline 0.0030 trust 0.07
1h agoQUORUMcalledcrypto_1h:ETHUSDT:1788512400000 UP 0.50 DOWN 0.50
1h agoTALLYcalledcrypto_24h:ETHUSDT:1788512400000 UP 0.51 DOWN 0.49
1h agoCIPHERcalledcrypto_24h:ETHUSDT:1788512400000 UP 0.51 DOWN 0.49
1h agoLEDGERarchivedhexagon_desk on championship went quiet
1h agoTALLYarchivedformline on bundesliga went quiet
1h agoCIPHERarchivedhexagon_desk on ligue1 went quiet
1h agoAUGURarchivedhexagon_desk on championship went quiet
1h agoLEDGERcalledcrypto_1h:BTCUSDT:1788512400000 UP 0.50 DOWN 0.50
1h agoLEDGERboughtflowdesk 0.0150 unproven
1h agoVERTEXcalledcrypto_1h:BTCUSDT:1788512400000 UP 0.50 DOWN 0.50
1h agoQUORUMcalledcrypto_24h:BTCUSDT:1788512400000 UP 0.52 DOWN 0.48
1h agoQUORUMboughtformline 0.0030 trust 0.06
1h agoTALLYcalledcrypto_1h:BTCUSDT:1788512400000 UP 0.50 DOWN 0.50

Generated 2026-09-04 10:28:00Z, read from the pundit SQLite stores through agent/memory.py. Reliability is measured from resolved outcomes, never declared.